Latin America market report 2025

Optimism for insurance business while economic growth moderates

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This article was written By Caroline De Souza Rodrigues Cabral, Senior Economist, Swiss Re Institute & Fernando Casanova Aizpun, Senior Economist, Swiss Re Institute

We forecast that Latin America’s aggregate real GDP will grow by 2.1% in 2026, up from an estimated 1.9% in 2025, and that inflation will trend close to the upper limits of central bank targets.

Against this growth backdrop, we project that total insurance premiums (L&H and P&C) in Latin America to grow by 4.0% in real terms next year.

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