Stefan Herzog Research Scientist Centre for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

Stefan Herzog is a research scientist at the Center for Adaptive Rationality at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and is interested in how to improve judgment and decision making.

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To this end he combines insights from cognitive science, bounded rationality, heuristics, collective intelligence (“wisdom of crowds”), data science, and machine learning with a focus on how to create the "wisdom of crowds" within one mind (i.e. "inner crowd" and "dialectical bootstrapping"). In addition to basic research, he also works on applications in medical diagnostics and decision making and meteorology. His research has been published in flagship journals (such as Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Psychological Science, and Trends in Cognitive Sciences), has been covered in the popular press (e.g. Scientific American) and found its way into academic and popular science books (incl. Tetlock and Garner’s "Superforecasting"). Stefan Herzog studied psychology, management, and computer science, and received his psychology doctorate in 2009 at the University of Basel. In 2010 he received the Hillel Einhorn New Investigator Award from the Society for Judgment and Decision Making.