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Showing 5 results in Economic Outlook
  1. Global Economic Outlook

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Downside risks prevail for the global economy. Our much below consensus growth forecast for the US is becoming reality with GDP growth at close to 2% end-2019. We do not expect a global or US recession in 2019, but the risk in 2020 is high. The likelihood

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  2. US Economic Outlook

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Despite the jitters and volatility in the financial markets, the real US economy continues to evolve largely in line with expectations. In the third data release for 3Q18, real GDP growth for the quarter was revised down a tick to 3.4%, but the overall pic

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  3. Canada Economic Outlook

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    The Canadian economy has been running near capacity for a number of quarters. Growth has slowed from around 3.0% yoy in 2H17 to 2.1% yoy in 3Q18 – still slightly above trend, but on a steady path of deceleration toward it. Recent downward revisions to the

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  4. Financial Risk Monitor

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Global growth remains at an above-trend pace but is softening, and risks are tilted to the downside. Trade tensions are a key concern – the recent US-China "pause" has not resolved any of the bigger sticking points, and the probability of auto tariffs has

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  5. China Economic Outlook Quarterly

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Growth of the Chinese economy remained solid at 6.7% in 2Q18, marginally lower than 1Q18 but the risk of a significant growth rate downshift in the second half has increased. Despite fairly resilient domestic foundamentals, weakening external demand amid e

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