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Showing 11 results in Economic Insights
  1. Economic Insights: Financial reform in China: next big step will be interest rates

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    China's two-track interest rate regime is set to become one in the next two years. Market-based interest rates will help channel risky shadow lending activity back onto bank balance sheets. More broad-based market liberalisation will boost life premiums an

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  2. Economic Insights: Global pensions system in crisis: how insurance can help

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    The global pension gap is forecast to reach USD 400 trillion by 2050. Life insurers can help close the retirement funding gap by assuming risks facing Pillar 2 defined-benefit pension schemes, and by developing innovative Pillar 3 savings vehicles.

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  3. The world economy in 2019: the three Ps to watch

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    We expect softer and diverging global economic growth in 2019. We are also keeping a close watch on the three Ps: prices, as inflationary pressures are increasing in the medium term; policies, as central banks transition from quantitative easing to quantit

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  4. Is Mexico fixing what is not broken?

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Mexico's new president is considering a number of policy changes that could have long-lasting effects on economic growth and the Mexican insurance industry. We believe Mexico would ultimately benefit from maintaining the economic policies that created stab

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  5. Alternative capital set to grow for peak risks

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Alternative capital proved to be a reliable source of capacity during the active 2017 natural catastrophe season. We predict that it will continue to grow and curb the volatility of the overall reinsurance underwriting cycle.

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  6. Economic Insights: The Phillips Curve: flatter, kinked but not "dead"

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    The Phillips Curve, which says that as the unemployment rate falls, nominal wages will rise, is making a comeback. Many labour markets are beyond full employment and wage inflation is set to rise. It may spike in an overheating risk scenario. Non-life insu

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  7. Economic Insights: Belt & Road Initiative: multi-trillion dollar opportunities for insurers

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    China's multi-trillion dollar Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) will offer the insurance industry significant investment opportunities. Now that insurers can participate in BRI projects through both equity and debt financing, we predict that additional BRI fina

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  8. Economic Insights: Economic and insurance market growth: win-win

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Current economic momentum will underpin premium growth, and we expect insurance outperformance in the emerging markets. Untapped risk pools remain. Insurers are innovating to realise this potential which, alongside their long-term investment activities, wi

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  9. Economic Insights: Global economy is inadequately prepared for the next crisis

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Alongside the 2018 IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings, policy makers highlighted that the global economy is inadequately prepared for the next financial crisis. We sense a lack of commitment to increase economic resilience. Looking ahead, we believe that centr

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  10. Economic Insights: Rising interest rates and insurers: near-term pain, long-term gain

    Published date:

    Published by: Swiss Re Institute Content Type: Publication

    Rising interest rates will support insurers' investment income, but not immediately. Moreover, insurers' shareholder equity in the accounting view may suffer a near-term decline. In the interim, insurers need to improve their underwriting results if they a

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