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R0 is below 1 in the G7 countries, making the economic outlook more encouraging.
Key takeaways
In the "new normal", the global economy will not return to full capacity, resulting in a protracted recovery.
In the G20, we estimate that sweet spot economic capacity utilisation will be at 90-95%.
A change in consumer behaviour and remaining operational constraints will hurt hospitality, wholesale and retail trade, air travel, and entertainment most post lockdown.
The SRI Pandemic Macro Clock shows that R0 has declined below 1 in G7 economies.
This is encouraging for the economic outlook, and the G7 can now work with careful easing towards reaching the "sweet spot".
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COVID-19: hitting the sweet spot on the pandemic macro clock
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