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  • Belt and Road Initiative – 1Q 2018 update

    Read more about the latest developments of the “Belt & Road” (B&R) Initiative and its potential impact on the re/insurance industry.

  • US Economic Outlook

    The US economy entered 2018 on a solid footing. The labor market remains strong, PMIs as well as hard data continue to point to solid growth momentum, while inflation is tame. Looking at 2018, our forecast for GDP growth is somewhat higher than last month (now 2.5%), while inflation and 10Y interest rates over the forecast horizon have been revised down (2.3% for CPI; 2.9% and 3.0% for 10Y interest rates in 2018 and 2019). We anticipate three more policy rate hikes this year, starting in March and view risks for four rate hikes being elevated. Risks to the Goldilocks growth and inflation projections arise from potential overheating, especially as financial conditions remain extremely accommodative despite the gradual tightening of monetary policy. The new FOMC composition could also lead to more volatility, particularly on the rates front.

  • Global Economic Outlook and Scenarios

    The global economy is in a strong position and expected to grow at a similar pace in 2018. Our forecast for real GDP growth in the US is somewhat higher than last month (now 2.5%), due to the front-loaded nature of the tax cut bill. Economic momentum in the Euro area remained strong and we have revised up our growth forecast to 2.1% in 2018 and 1.8% in 2019. Key interest rate decisions in 2018 will come from the FOMC, which, under new leadership and changed composition, is expected to deliver three rate hikes, with an elevated risk of four rate hikes. The ECB halved its asset purchase programme from January and remains highly accommodative, but will soon have to decide how to proceed with the programme after September.

  • Canada Economic Outlook

    Canadian economic performance in 2017 is projected to be the strongest in six years, with GDP advancing 2.9%. Although growth in 2H17 has slowed compared to the stellar performance of the prior four quarters, it remains above the potential rate. Employment in particular has increased solidly this year, and wage growth is finally showing signs of rebounding. With the economy at or near full capacity, inflation is expected to accelerate next year.

  • Comprehensive small and micro-enterprise policy

    The majority of small and micro-enterprises (SMiEs) do not buy insurance in Chile. Only a few products are offered in Chile, mainly focusing on larger SMiEs, and uptake remains low. This new product has the potential to be more successful because it is simple and offers a broad scope of cover. It can be marketed through a distribution channel that caters for small and micro-enterprise development, such as a bank.

  • Typhoon parametric insurance in China

    The majority of small and micro-enterprises (SMiEs) do not buy insurance in Chile. Only a few products are offered in Chile, mainly focusing on larger SMiEs, and uptake remains low. This new product has the potential to be more successful because it is simple and offers a broad scope of cover. It can be marketed through a distribution channel that caters for small and micro-enterprise development, such as a bank.

  • The health insurance frontier in India

    Chronic diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and diabetes are on the rise in India. The major drivers behind rising incidence rates are primarily demographic and lifestyle changes. These critical illnesses (CI) are a burden for the Indian population. Being diagnosed with a severe illness puts heavy financial strains on individuals and their families, especially those who are uninsured. Insurers play an important role in raising awareness of existing protection gaps and in helping society to close them. This study demonstrates an approach for deeper insights into the drivers behind consumers' preferences and product choices for CI insurance in India. It focuses on what creates value for consumers and how much they are willing to pay to close their CI protection gap.

  • US Property & Casualty Quarterly

    The US P&C industry's profitability deteriorated year-on-year in 1H17. Underwriting losses increased to USD 3.5 billion, from USD 0.9 billion in 1H16, mainly driven by higher catastrophe losses in 1H17.

  • China Economic Outlook Quarterly

    China's economic growth slowed slightly to 6.8% in 3Q17 from 6.9% in previous quarter, as fixed asset investment slowed. On the other hand, domestic consumption and external demand bolstered growth in the quarter.

  • Industry-first Global Storm Surge Zones

    Tropical cyclones put many areas of the world at risk from strong winds, storm surges and heavy rainfall. Hurricane Katrina in the US or Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar showed that if such storms hit flat coastal areas, storm surges can be the main driver of damage. While the loss potential is huge, there has only been limited availability of risk information and no global overview up to now. With the launch of the industry’s first Global Storm Surge Zones, Swiss Re is closing the gap. Our storm surge hazard zones enable our clients to pinpoint their storm surge risk with a consistent, worldwide, probabilistic and highresolution risk look-up in Swiss Re’s CatNet tool. The zones show that almost 230 million people – roughly 3% of the world’s population – are exposed to storm surge risk.

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